CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1973 |
BOT
1 - 3
CSK
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
CSK
2 - 0
LSO
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
TUN
1 - 1
CSK
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
CSK
7 - 1
PAN
88%
8%
3%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
AKA
2 - 3
CSK
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1973 |
FKM
2 - 2
CVA
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
CVA
1 - 1
BOT
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
LSO
2 - 2
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
CVA
3 - 1
TUN
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
PAN
0 - 2
CVA
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |