CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna analysis


79	ELO	77
-8.9%	Tilt	-10.1%
959º	General ELO ranking	841º
4º	Country ELO ranking	3º
ELO win probability

59.6%

CSKA Sofia

19.7%

Draw

20.7%

Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

59.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%

19.7%

Draw

0-0

3%

1-1

8.5%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.9%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

19.7%

20.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSKA Sofia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
17 Oct. 1953	BOT 0 - 3 CSK 43% 24% 33%	79	74	5
17 Oct. 1953	CSK 3 - 0 MAR 80% 13% 8%	79	61	18
17 Oct. 1953	CSK 2 - 1 SPA 77% 14% 9%	79	64	15
17 Oct. 1953	CSK 2 - 0 SPA 70% 16% 14%	79	71	8
17 Oct. 1953	SPS 2 - 2 CSK 43% 24% 32%	79	76	3

Matches

Cherno More Varna

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
17 Oct. 1953	CVA 2 - 0 SPA 65% 19% 17%	77	71	6	0
17 Oct. 1953	STR 0 - 1 CVA 43% 24% 33%	77	71	6	0
17 Oct. 1953	BOT 1 - 1 CVA 44% 24% 32%	78	73	5	-1
17 Oct. 1953	CVA 0 - 0 LSO 54% 21% 25%	78	78	0	0
17 Oct. 1953	CVA 3 - 0 SSO 57% 21% 22%	78	77	1	0