Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-1
CSKA Sofia vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
CSK
1 - 3
POM
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
BIF
3 - 3
CSK
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
CSK
0 - 0
SHA
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
UFA
1 - 2
CSK
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
CSK
3 - 0
VVA
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
SUP
0 - 2
CAR
14%
17%
69%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
FKS
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
VEN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
FKJ
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |