Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 1-2
CSKA Sofia vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 0
SEP
62%
22%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
STP
0 - 2
CSK
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CSK
0 - 1
STP
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
5 - 1
BER
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
4 - 0
MAK
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
BIF
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
YOB
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BIF
1 - 0
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |