CSKA Sofia vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
CSK
33%
27%
39%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CSK
1 - 0
SLI
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
ROM
2 - 0
CSK
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
CSK
24%
28%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CSK
2 - 0
LSO
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LEM
1 - 3
BAS
8%
14%
78%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
5 - 0
SIO
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
FUL
1 - 0
BAS
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
62%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 0
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |