UCL Last 16
Global 2-1
CSKA Sofia vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1973 |
SPA
2 - 1
CSK
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
CSK
4 - 0
OFK
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 0
CSK
88%
8%
4%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
ETA
1 - 1
CSK
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
CSK
2 - 1
SSO
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
MVV
0 - 4
AJA
19%
26%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
5 - 1
GAE
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 0
CSK
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 1
PSV
80%
13%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 3
AJA
22%
27%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |