UCL Last 16
Global 1-6
CSKA Sofia vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1972 |
LSO
2 - 0
CSK
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
CSK
8 - 1
TUN
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1972 |
PAN
0 - 2
CSK
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
PAN
1 - 2
CSK
33%
29%
38%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
CSK
0 - 2
AKA
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
AJA
9 - 0
BOS
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
TWE
0 - 1
AJA
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 1
AJA
28%
22%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
AJA
9 - 2
TEL
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 0
AJA
15%
25%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |