CSKA 1948 Sofia III vs Granit Vladaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
12º
2º
13
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
39 | 25 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 24 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 21 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 19 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 19 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 18 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 15 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 14 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 12 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NAD
0 - 1
SOF
26%
22%
52%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SOF
3 - 0
LSO
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SOF
0 - 0
RIL
61%
20%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OBO
0 - 1
SOF
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 2
SOF
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Granit Vladaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
GRV
2 - 3
BOT
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LER
2 - 1
GRV
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
GRV
1 - 3
PIR
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SSO
4 - 2
GRV
80%
12%
7%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
GRV
0 - 1
LER
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |