ZSKA Dushanbe vs Guardia Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ZSKA Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
CSK
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
0 - 0
PAR
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
GUD
0 - 1
CSK
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 0
ENE
53%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
CSK
0 - 0
XAY
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GUD
0 - 2
VAK
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VAK
4 - 1
GUD
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
GUD
0 - 1
CSK
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GUD
0 - 3
PAR
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GUD
4 - 2
KHO
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |