ZSKA Dushanbe vs Guardia Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ZSKA Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RAV
3 - 1
CSK
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
VAK
2 - 3
CSK
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CSK
5 - 1
KHU
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 0
PAR
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
XAY
2 - 1
CSK
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
XAY
6 - 1
GUD
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUD
1 - 5
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GUD
1 - 10
REG
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VAK
2 - 0
GUD
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
RAV
3 - 2
GUD
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |