ZSKA Dushanbe vs Guardia Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ZSKA Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
RAV
2 - 1
CSK
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
VAK
1 - 2
CSK
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 1
KHU
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 0
PAR
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 3
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
XAY
3 - 0
GUD
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
GUD
0 - 0
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GUD
2 - 1
REG
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RAV
4 - 0
GUD
77%
15%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |