CSKA Almaty vs Bayterek Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
CSK
2 - 2
VOS
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 2
SPA
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
CSK
5 - 3
BAY
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
KAS
4 - 1
CSK
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
AKJ
1 - 0
CSK
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Bayterek Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 0
KAS
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 0
AKJ
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
CSK
5 - 3
BAY
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAY
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2012 |
EKI
0 - 2
BAY
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |