Cup Bulgaria Semi-finals
Global 5-4
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SVA
3 - 3
CSK
18%
25%
57%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 3
CSK
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 0
LPL
54%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 1
ARK
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
BVR
2 - 1
LSO
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 4
HEB
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 3
CSK
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
LSO
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |