Csepel TC vs ESMTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+364%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
11º
10º
62
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
54% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 28 |
13º
|
54% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Csepel TC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CGF
0 - 0
MON
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MLS
4 - 5
CGF
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CGF
1 - 2
TIS
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HON
3 - 0
CGF
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CGF
2 - 0
KTE
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ESM
3 - 1
MLS
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 3
GYI
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 1
GYU
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BKV
2 - 2
ESM
13%
21%
67%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
8 - 0
VSE
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |