Timbó vs Bartolomé Mitre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
68.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timbó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PCD
1 - 1
TBO
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ABM
1 - 1
TBO
80%
15%
6%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TBO
0 - 2
PCD
36%
22%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TBO
1 - 1
GAF
22%
22%
57%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CDN
3 - 0
TBO
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Bartolomé Mitre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ABM
4 - 1
PCD
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ABM
1 - 1
TBO
80%
15%
6%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PCD
1 - 0
ABM
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
VCC
1 - 2
ABM
17%
27%
56%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ABM
0 - 2
VCC
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | -1 |