Timbó vs Central Iguazu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Timbó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 0
TBO
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
TBO
2 - 2
CAC
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TBO
2 - 1
CAP
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RVB
3 - 1
TBO
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 3
TBO
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Central Iguazu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 0
TBO
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GAF
2 - 3
CIG
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 2
CDN
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 0
GAF
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | +7 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 1
CIG
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +1 |