San Martín Monte Vera vs Náutico el Quillá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Monte Vera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
CSD
0 - 4
ESF
23%
20%
56%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PDO
2 - 1
CSD
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico el Quillá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
PDO
54%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ESF
0 - 3
NAU
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
LSA
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LSA
0 - 1
NAU
11%
15%
74%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |