Villa del Parque vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa del Parque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
DVP
2 - 3
RAO
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
BVI
2 - 2
DVP
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
DVP
2 - 3
CSM
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CDC
1 - 2
DVP
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
DVP
1 - 1
GUT
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ALV
2 - 1
BVI
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
ALV
2 - 2
CDC
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
GUT
2 - 2
ALV
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ALV
3 - 0
SPA
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
DVP
1 - 1
ALV
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |