Vargas Torres vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
42%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
59
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 1
CSV
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
18%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
LFC
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
CHA
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
LFC
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
4 - 0
ESA
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |