Vargas Torres vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
CDA
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CSV
3 - 0
PQU
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PQU
1 - 1
CSV
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CSV
0 - 0
CDS
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CDS
0 - 0
CSV
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
MUS
24%
27%
49%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 0
TEC
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 0
CFC
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
3 - 1
OCT
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
UCE
2 - 1
MUS
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |