Vargas Torres vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
60
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
CSV
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
INJ
22%
30%
48%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
CSV
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
OCT
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CSV
61%
25%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
ESA
61%
25%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAN
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
OCT
1 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
LFC
58%
25%
18%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |