Vargas Torres vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
60
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 2
CSV
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CSV
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
OCT
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 2
CSV
30%
30%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
RIV
28%
30%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
CHA
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
INJ
0 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 1
ESA
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |