Vargas Torres vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
52
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
5 - 2
CSV
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 2
MAC
18%
28%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
OCT
25%
28%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
CSV
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
INJ
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
AME
5 - 1
MAN
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 2
MAN
28%
30%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
IMB
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 1
MAN
38%
30%
33%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |