Vargas Torres vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
10º
9º
28
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 38 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 38 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 35 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 34 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 19 |
11º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
12º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 87% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
CFC
2 - 1
CSV
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
CSV
3 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
OCT
1 - 1
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
CSV
1 - 0
IMB
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
LFC
3 - 2
CSV
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 1
INJ
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
LFC
2 - 0
INJ
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
INJ
2 - 0
JUL
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 28 | 52 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 2
INJ
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |