Vargas Torres vs Gualaceo analysis

Vargas Torres Gualaceo
71 ELO 77
-14.7% Tilt -8.6%
1794º General ELO ranking 1039º
24º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
30%
Vargas Torres
29.1%
Draw
40.8%
Gualaceo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
Vargas Torres
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
40.8%
Win probability
Gualaceo
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vargas Torres
+14%
+4%
Gualaceo

Points and table prediction

Vargas Torres
Their league position
Gualaceo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
31
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gualaceo
31
38
26.5%
Guayaquil City
30
37
23%
9 de Octubre
29
36
22.5%
Leones
31
35
26%
Independiente Juniors
25
32
18%
San Antonio
28
32
27.5%
Cumbayá
23
30
36%
Atlético Vinotinto
25
29
32%
Vargas Torres
24
28
33%
22 de Julio
10º
22
25
10º
66.5%
Imbabura
11º
12
19
11º
86%
Chacaritas
12º
12
15
12º
89%
Expected probabilities
Vargas Torres
Gualaceo
Promotion play-offs
9.5% 97%
Relegation play-offs
90.5% 3%

ELO progression

Vargas Torres
Gualaceo
San Antonio
Independiente Juniors
Cumbayá
Atlético Vinotinto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vargas Torres
Vargas Torres
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2025
OCT
9 de Octubre
1 - 1
Vargas Torres
CSV
63%
23%
14%
70 79 9 0
04 Jul. 2025
CSV
Vargas Torres
1 - 0
Imbabura
IMB
27%
26%
48%
69 75 6 +1
25 Jun. 2025
LFC
Leones
3 - 2
Vargas Torres
CSV
42%
30%
28%
69 69 0 0
18 Jun. 2025
CSV
Vargas Torres
2 - 1
22 de Julio
JUL
60%
23%
17%
69 28 41 0
10 Jun. 2025
CHA
Chacaritas
3 - 3
Vargas Torres
CSV
37%
28%
36%
69 63 6 0

Matches

Gualaceo
Gualaceo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2025
GUA
Gualaceo
2 - 0
Cumbayá
CFC
46%
27%
28%
77 75 2 0
02 Jul. 2025
ESA
San Antonio
2 - 2
Gualaceo
GUA
43%
29%
29%
77 70 7 0
27 Jun. 2025
OCT
9 de Octubre
3 - 0
Gualaceo
GUA
49%
27%
24%
77 79 2 0
17 Jun. 2025
GUA
Gualaceo
3 - 2
Imbabura
IMB
39%
26%
34%
76 76 0 +1
11 Jun. 2025
LFC
Leones
0 - 0
Gualaceo
GUA
42%
29%
29%
76 69 7 0