Vargas Torres vs Gualaceo analysis


71	ELO	77
-14.7%	Tilt	-8.6%
1794º	General ELO ranking	1039º
24º	Country ELO ranking	21º
ELO win probability

30%

Vargas Torres

29.1%

Draw

40.8%

Gualaceo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

30%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%

29.1%

Draw

0-0

11.4%

1-1

13.3%

2-2

3.9%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

29.1%

40.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+12%

+4%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

9º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

24

5º

10º

9º

31

1º

5º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

2º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	34	38	1º	34%
2º	31	38	2º	17.5%
3º	30	37	3º	25.5%
4º	29	36	4º	17%
8º	25	32	5º	23%
5º	28	32	6º	26%
6º	26	30	7º	41%
7º	25	28	8º	45%
9º	24	27	9º	43%
10º	22	25	10º	62%
11º	15	19	11º	87%
12º	12	15	12º	92%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	5.5%	98.5%
Relegation play-offs	94.5%	1.5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vargas Torres

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Jul. 2025	OCT 1 - 1 CSV 63% 23% 14%	70	79	9	0
04 Jul. 2025	CSV 1 - 0 IMB 27% 26% 48%	69	75	6	+1
25 Jun. 2025	LFC 3 - 2 CSV 42% 30% 28%	69	69	0	0
18 Jun. 2025	CSV 2 - 1 JUL 60% 23% 17%	69	28	41	0
10 Jun. 2025	CHA 3 - 3 CSV 37% 28% 36%	69	63	6	0

Matches

Gualaceo

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
08 Jul. 2025	GUA 2 - 0 CFC 46% 27% 28%	77	75	2	0
02 Jul. 2025	ESA 2 - 2 GUA 43% 29% 29%	77	70	7	0
27 Jun. 2025	OCT 3 - 0 GUA 49% 27% 24%	77	79	2	0
17 Jun. 2025	GUA 3 - 2 IMB 39% 26% 34%	76	76	0	+1
11 Jun. 2025	LFC 0 - 0 GUA 42% 29% 29%	76	69	7	0