Vargas Torres vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
37.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
47
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
CSV
36%
29%
36%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
INJ
26%
30%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 0
CSV
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BCF
1 - 1
CSV
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
ESA
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
ESA
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
OLM
1 - 0
GUA
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 2
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |