Vargas Torres vs San Antonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
28.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
44
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
6 - 1
CSV
58%
26%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CSV
4 - 2
CHA
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
CSV
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 5
CUN
22%
30%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 0
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Antonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 0
GUA
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 2
MAN
29%
30%
41%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 0
RIV
26%
30%
45%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 1
ESA
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 1
CHA
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |