Vargas Torres vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
40.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
69
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSV
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
MAN
32%
31%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 2
CSV
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CSV
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CSV
2 - 1
OCT
28%
29%
43%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
OCT
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CUN
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
CUN
0 - 0
ESA
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
CUN
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |