Vargas Torres vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
53.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
18.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
OCT
25%
28%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
CSV
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
INJ
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
CSV
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
IMB
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
INJ
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAC
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 1
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |