Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Vargas Torres vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
51.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
CSV
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
3 - 0
JUV
41%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 1
CSV
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
1 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 0
CSV
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
CSV
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATS
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ATS
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
52%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
CUE
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CUE
2 - 1
GRE
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |