Vargas Torres vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
36.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
43
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
CSV
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 1
GUA
30%
30%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CSV
57%
25%
17%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 0
OCT
22%
27%
52%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
OCT
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
AME
36%
27%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHA
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAN
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
AME
2 - 3
CHA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |