Vargas Torres vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
43
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 0
CSV
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
CSV
2 - 2
IMB
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 1
CSV
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 0
MAC
20%
27%
53%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AME
1 - 1
CSV
62%
24%
14%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
INJ
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 0
CHA
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
OCT
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |