Copa Ecuador 1/32
Global 4-1
Vargas Torres vs Atlético Santo Domingo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
PQU
1 - 1
CSV
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CSV
0 - 0
CDS
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CDS
0 - 0
CSV
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CSV
3 - 0
ORE
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ORE
1 - 5
CSV
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Santo Domingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
PQU
1 - 0
IMB
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PQU
1 - 1
CSV
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
INJ
1 - 0
PQU
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
PQU
1 - 2
OLM
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
PQU
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |