Segunda Categoría - Ecuador 1/32
Global 8-1
Vargas Torres vs Orellanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ORE
1 - 5
CSV
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CSV
0 - 0
CDL
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CDL
2 - 1
CSV
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
CSV
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CSV
0 - 0
CAL
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Orellanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ORE
1 - 5
CSV
18%
22%
61%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |