Vargas Torres vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
44
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
CSV
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
INJ
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
CSV
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
IMB
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
CSV
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
INJ
3 - 1
OCT
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
OCT
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 0
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |