Vargas Torres vs 22 de Julio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1443%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
10º
8º
18
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 39 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 36 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 33 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 33 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 25 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 25 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 24 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 21 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
12º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96.5% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 3
CSV
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
CSV
2 - 2
CAV
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 22 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
INJ
0 - 0
CSV
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
CSV
1 - 2
ESA
42%
31%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CSV
4 - 0
CFC
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
22 de Julio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
JUL
1 - 0
CFC
21%
25%
55%
|
27 | 73 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
JUL
65%
22%
13%
|
26 | 76 | 50 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
JUL
1 - 0
IMB
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 75 | 50 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
LFC
2 - 0
JUL
63%
22%
15%
|
25 | 68 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 2
JUL
67%
20%
13%
|
25 | 63 | 38 | 0 |