Rangers Talca vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 2
CSD
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 0
CSD
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 2
COL
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
CSD
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 0
ULC
22%
27%
52%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCH
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
UCO
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
USF
2 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |