Macará vs UT Cotopaxi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
RIV
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
GRE
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
AUD
1 - 0
MAC
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
UCE
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UT Cotopaxi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
UTC
4 - 0
GRE
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 2
UTC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
UTC
1 - 1
UCE
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
UTC
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
UTC
1 - 1
TEC
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |