Macará vs UT Cotopaxi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
4 - 1
RIV
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
5 - 1
GRE
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 3
MAC
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
UCE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UT Cotopaxi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
UTC
3 - 2
GRE
40%
26%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 2
UTC
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
UTC
0 - 1
UCE
29%
27%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 1
UTC
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
UTC
0 - 1
TEC
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |