Macará vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 2
DEL
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
MAC
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
EME
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
LIG
3 - 2
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
TEC
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
UCE
4 - 0
LIG
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
UCE
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
UCE
2 - 1
MUS
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
UCE
4 - 2
DEL
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
ULC
3 - 2
UCE
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |