Macará vs CD Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
IMB
1 - 2
MAC
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
MAN
43%
29%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
CLA
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 0
TEC
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLM
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 2
LOJ
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LDU
1 - 0
OLM
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
OLM
1 - 1
QUI
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TEC
2 - 0
OLM
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |