Macará vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
MAC
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 3
UCE
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 0
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
MUS
2 - 4
IVT
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 0
MUS
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 1
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
4 - 1
MUS
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |