Macará vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
51%
26%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
OLM
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
UCE
2 - 1
MAC
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MAC
5 - 1
DEL
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
0 - 1
TEC
41%
25%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 4
AUC
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MUS
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MUS
3 - 2
IVT
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 0
MUS
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |