Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MUS
4 - 3
MAC
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
BSC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
MAN
2 - 2
CUN
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAN
2 - 1
MUS
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CUE
2 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 1
LIG
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |