Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
52
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHA
69%
21%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 1
MAC
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
OCT
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 2
MAC
18%
28%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
INJ
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 2
INJ
39%
29%
33%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 1
MAN
29%
30%
42%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
AME
5 - 1
MAN
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 2
MAN
28%
30%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |