Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIG
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 1
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 3
DEL
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
IVT
1 - 1
MAN
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
DEL
2 - 1
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 2
LIG
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TEC
0 - 0
MAN
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |