Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LOJ
4 - 1
MAC
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
IVT
22%
25%
52%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 0
MAC
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 4
EME
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
UCE
29%
26%
46%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAN
51%
26%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
LIG
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 1
BSC
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |