Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 5
IVT
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
MAC
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 0
BSC
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
EME
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 2
UCE
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CUE
0 - 2
MAN
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
LIG
34%
30%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |