Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 2
MAC
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 2
ESP
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIG
32%
27%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
EME
1 - 0
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
LDU
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
CUE
2 - 1
MAN
54%
27%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
EME
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LDU
0 - 1
MAN
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
TEC
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |