Macará vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LIG
0 - 0
MAC
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 0
LIG
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
QUI
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
QUI
35%
30%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
QUI
4 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LIG
4 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
EME
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |